Sequence · 2015-10-26

M 7.5 · Observed seismic cluster · Hindu Kush region, Afghanistan

Explore clusters of M4.5+ events observed around significant earthquakes. These clusters are descriptive and are not presented as earthquake predictions.

M4.5+ events in cluster8
M6+1
Analysis radius420 km
Observation window14 days
Largest secondary eventM 4.6
Quake Pulse · Major sequence

What the sequence shows

After the M 7.5 reference event, Quake Pulse counts 5 M4+ event(s) in the first 24 hours and 7 in the first 7 days. Fourteen-day M4.5+ activity is about 2.6× the average equivalent derived from the previous year. The largest secondary event is M 2.9 below the reference event.

85/100Sequence score
Events in the previous 24 h1
In the first hour4
In the first 24 hours5
In the first 7 days7
Within 14 days7
Peak one-hour count4

Local historical context

Descriptive comparison with M4.5+ events observed in the same radius during the 365 days before the sequence.

M4.5+ events / 365 d70Average 14-day equivalent2.7Activity / baseline ratio2.6×

A ratio above 1 means denser M4.5+ activity than the average equivalent derived from the previous 365 days. It is not a risk measure or a forecast.

Reference event

Largest secondary eventM 4.6Magnitude gapM 2.9Observed duration6.2 d

Earlier events are shown as context only. They are not labelled precursors and should not be interpreted as predictive signals.

Evolving sequence map

Shows M4+ cluster events according to elapsed time after the reference event.

Hindu Kush region, Afghanistan · 420 kmInteractive 3D view of earthquakes within 420 km of Hindu Kush region, Afghanistan.Hindu Kush region, AfghanistanM 4.6 · 48 km SW of Jurm, Afghanistan · 13.9 kmM 4.5 · 70 km S of Jurm, Afghanistan · 50.2 kmM 4.5 · 50 km SW of Jurm, Afghanistan · 9.4 kmM 4.6 · 50 km E of Farkh?r, Afghanistan · 5.1 kmM 4.5 · 40 km E of Farkh?r, Afghanistan · 6.2 km
Hindu Kush region, Afghanistan420 km5 Recent earthquakes

Detailed timeline

Dots represent M4+ events retained by the sequence detector. Dot size depends on magnitude.

Sequences are descriptive groupings based on spatial and temporal proximity. Quake Pulse does not establish a causal link between every event here and does not provide earthquake forecasts.

Quake Pulse

Main-event impact

568 Felt reports · PAGER ORANGE · Intermediate

85/100
Impact and context →

M4.5+ events in cluster

MagnitudeLocationDepthTime
M 7.5Hindu Kush region, Afghanistan231.0 km2015-10-26 09:09:42 UTCView event →
M 4.648 km SW of Jurm, Afghanistan204.3 km2015-10-26 09:36:11 UTCView event →
M 4.570 km S of Jurm, Afghanistan212.9 km2015-10-26 09:47:01 UTCView event →
M 4.550 km SW of Jurm, Afghanistan190.8 km2015-10-26 09:48:23 UTCView event →
M 4.650 km E of Farkh?r, Afghanistan202.8 km2015-10-26 09:49:38 UTCView event →
M 4.540 km E of Farkh?r, Afghanistan197.0 km2015-10-26 16:47:22 UTCView event →
M 4.649 km SW of Jurm, Afghanistan201.9 km2015-10-27 13:14:07 UTCView event →
M 4.652 km SW of Jurm, Afghanistan211.1 km2015-11-01 12:50:10 UTCView event →

Interpretation

Explore clusters of M4.5+ events observed around significant earthquakes. These clusters are descriptive and are not presented as earthquake predictions. Historical small-earthquake detection varies through time. Long-term comparisons are most robust at higher magnitude thresholds.

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