Sequence · 2016-03-02

M 7.8 · Observed seismic cluster · southwest of Sumatra, Indonesia

Explore clusters of M4.5+ events observed around significant earthquakes. These clusters are descriptive and are not presented as earthquake predictions.

M4.5+ events in cluster13
M6+1
Analysis radius468 km
Observation window14 days
Largest secondary eventM 5.6
Quake Pulse · Major sequence

What the sequence shows

After the M 7.8 reference event, Quake Pulse counts 7 M4+ event(s) in the first 24 hours and 12 in the first 7 days. Fourteen-day M4.5+ activity is about 24.0× the average equivalent derived from the previous year. The largest secondary event is M 2.2 below the reference event.

89/100Sequence score
Events in the previous 24 h0
In the first hour1
In the first 24 hours7
In the first 7 days12
Within 14 days12
Peak one-hour count2

Local historical context

Descriptive comparison with M4.5+ events observed in the same radius during the 365 days before the sequence.

M4.5+ events / 365 d1Average 14-day equivalent0.0Activity / baseline ratio24.0×

A ratio above 1 means denser M4.5+ activity than the average equivalent derived from the previous 365 days. It is not a risk measure or a forecast.

Reference event

Largest secondary eventM 5.6Magnitude gapM 2.2Observed duration2.6 d

Earlier events are shown as context only. They are not labelled precursors and should not be interpreted as predictive signals.

Evolving sequence map

Shows M4+ cluster events according to elapsed time after the reference event.

Detailed timeline

Dots represent M4+ events retained by the sequence detector. Dot size depends on magnitude.

Sequences are descriptive groupings based on spatial and temporal proximity. Quake Pulse does not establish a causal link between every event here and does not provide earthquake forecasts.

Quake Pulse

Main-event impact

31 Felt reports · PAGER GREEN · Shallow

59/100
Impact and context →

M4.5+ events in cluster

MagnitudeLocationDepthTime
M 7.8southwest of Sumatra, Indonesia24.0 km2016-03-02 12:49:48 UTCView event →
M 4.6southwest of Sumatra, Indonesia10.0 km2016-03-02 13:33:45 UTCView event →
M 5.1southwest of Sumatra, Indonesia12.3 km2016-03-02 15:12:05 UTCView event →
M 5.6southwest of Sumatra, Indonesia10.0 km2016-03-03 00:10:50 UTCView event →
M 4.5southwest of Sumatra, Indonesia17.6 km2016-03-03 02:28:19 UTCView event →
M 4.5southwest of Sumatra, Indonesia10.0 km2016-03-03 03:50:00 UTCView event →
M 4.8southwest of Sumatra, Indonesia10.0 km2016-03-03 06:03:07 UTCView event →
M 4.5southwest of Sumatra, Indonesia10.0 km2016-03-03 06:44:30 UTCView event →
M 4.7southwest of Sumatra, Indonesia10.0 km2016-03-03 12:52:59 UTCView event →
M 4.7southwest of Sumatra, Indonesia10.0 km2016-03-04 08:09:53 UTCView event →
M 5.4southwest of Sumatra, Indonesia10.0 km2016-03-04 20:20:54 UTCView event →
M 4.5southwest of Sumatra, Indonesia10.0 km2016-03-05 00:51:05 UTCView event →
M 4.7southwest of Sumatra, Indonesia14.1 km2016-03-05 02:41:24 UTCView event →

Interpretation

Explore clusters of M4.5+ events observed around significant earthquakes. These clusters are descriptive and are not presented as earthquake predictions. Historical small-earthquake detection varies through time. Long-term comparisons are most robust at higher magnitude thresholds.

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