Sequence · 2018-10-10

M 7.0 · Observed seismic cluster · 119 km E of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea

Explore clusters of M4.5+ events observed around significant earthquakes. These clusters are descriptive and are not presented as earthquake predictions.

M4.5+ events in cluster16
M6+2
Analysis radius340 km
Observation window14 days
Largest secondary eventM 6.2
Quake Pulse · Major sequence

What the sequence shows

After the M 7.0 reference event, Quake Pulse counts 5 M4+ event(s) in the first 24 hours and 11 in the first 7 days. Fourteen-day M4.5+ activity is about 2.3× the average equivalent derived from the previous year. The largest secondary event is M 0.8 below the reference event.

82/100Sequence score
Events in the previous 24 h1
In the first hour2
In the first 24 hours5
In the first 7 days11
Within 14 days16
Peak one-hour count3

Local historical context

Descriptive comparison with M4.5+ events observed in the same radius during the 365 days before the sequence.

M4.5+ events / 365 d181Average 14-day equivalent6.9Activity / baseline ratio2.3×

A ratio above 1 means denser M4.5+ activity than the average equivalent derived from the previous 365 days. It is not a risk measure or a forecast.

Reference event

Largest secondary eventM 6.2Magnitude gapM 0.8Observed duration13.4 d

Earlier events are shown as context only. They are not labelled precursors and should not be interpreted as predictive signals.

Evolving sequence map

Shows M4+ cluster events according to elapsed time after the reference event.

119 km E of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea · 340 kmInteractive 3D view of earthquakes within 340 km of 119 km E of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea.119 km E of Kimbe, Papua New GuineaM 5.9 · 109 km ESE of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea · 28.7 kmM 5.9 · 118 km ESE of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea · 25.8 kmM 6.2 · 91 km SW of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea · 100.2 kmM 4.9 · 139 km E of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea · 20.1 kmM 4.8 · 130 km ESE of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea · 56.2 km
119 km E of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea340 km5 Recent earthquakes

Detailed timeline

Dots represent M4+ events retained by the sequence detector. Dot size depends on magnitude.

Sequences are descriptive groupings based on spatial and temporal proximity. Quake Pulse does not establish a causal link between every event here and does not provide earthquake forecasts.

Quake Pulse

Main-event impact

6 Felt reports · PAGER GREEN · Tsunami indicator · Shallow

66/100
Impact and context →

M4.5+ events in cluster

MagnitudeLocationDepthTime
M 7.0119 km E of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea39.0 km2018-10-10 20:48:20 UTCView event →
M 5.9109 km ESE of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea45.1 km2018-10-10 20:59:00 UTCView event →
M 5.9118 km ESE of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea19.6 km2018-10-10 21:13:14 UTCView event →
M 6.291 km SW of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea121.0 km2018-10-10 22:00:34 UTCView event →
M 4.9139 km E of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea61.2 km2018-10-11 03:15:35 UTCView event →
M 4.8130 km ESE of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2018-10-11 11:10:14 UTCView event →
M 5.6128 km SE of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2018-10-12 02:52:02 UTCView event →
M 4.8122 km ESE of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea35.0 km2018-10-12 12:06:50 UTCView event →
M 5.5130 km ESE of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2018-10-15 19:35:56 UTCView event →
M 5.2137 km ESE of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2018-10-15 19:40:31 UTCView event →
M 4.9129 km SE of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2018-10-15 19:43:39 UTCView event →
M 4.6182 km WSW of Kavieng, Papua New Guinea5.8 km2018-10-17 17:41:45 UTCView event →
M 4.978 km SW of Rabaul, Papua New Guinea150.3 km2018-10-18 20:25:31 UTCView event →
M 4.6183 km ESE of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2018-10-19 18:52:09 UTCView event →
M 4.831 km S of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea96.0 km2018-10-21 12:29:52 UTCView event →
M 4.6183 km ESE of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2018-10-22 00:53:01 UTCView event →
M 5.1139 km E of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea52.5 km2018-10-24 06:57:09 UTCView event →

Interpretation

Explore clusters of M4.5+ events observed around significant earthquakes. These clusters are descriptive and are not presented as earthquake predictions. Historical small-earthquake detection varies through time. Long-term comparisons are most robust at higher magnitude thresholds.

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