Sequence · 2019-07-31

M 6.6 · Observed seismic cluster · 63 km E of Lakatoro, Vanuatu

Explore clusters of M4.5+ events observed around significant earthquakes. These clusters are descriptive and are not presented as earthquake predictions.

M4.5+ events in cluster5
M6+1
Analysis radius276 km
Observation window14 days
Largest secondary eventM 5.9
Quake Pulse · Strong sequence

What the sequence shows

After the M 6.6 reference event, Quake Pulse counts 1 M4+ event(s) in the first 24 hours and 4 in the first 7 days. Fourteen-day M4.5+ activity is about 0.8× the average equivalent derived from the previous year. The largest secondary event is M 0.7 below the reference event.

62/100Sequence score
Events in the previous 24 h1
In the first hour0
In the first 24 hours1
In the first 7 days4
Within 14 days4
Peak one-hour count1

Local historical context

Descriptive comparison with M4.5+ events observed in the same radius during the 365 days before the sequence.

M4.5+ events / 365 d136Average 14-day equivalent5.2Activity / baseline ratio0.8×

A ratio above 1 means denser M4.5+ activity than the average equivalent derived from the previous 365 days. It is not a risk measure or a forecast.

Reference event

Largest secondary eventM 5.9Magnitude gapM 0.7Observed duration6.6 d

Earlier events are shown as context only. They are not labelled precursors and should not be interpreted as predictive signals.

Evolving sequence map

Shows M4+ cluster events according to elapsed time after the reference event.

63 km E of Lakatoro, Vanuatu · 276 kmInteractive 3D view of earthquakes within 276 km of 63 km E of Lakatoro, Vanuatu.63 km E of Lakatoro, VanuatuM 5.0 · 63 km ESE of Lakatoro, Vanuatu · 2.8 km
63 km E of Lakatoro, Vanuatu276 km1 Recent earthquakes

Detailed timeline

Dots represent M4+ events retained by the sequence detector. Dot size depends on magnitude.

Sequences are descriptive groupings based on spatial and temporal proximity. Quake Pulse does not establish a causal link between every event here and does not provide earthquake forecasts.

Quake Pulse

Main-event impact

PAGER GREEN · Tsunami indicator · Intermediate

53/100
Impact and context →

M4.5+ events in cluster

MagnitudeLocationDepthTime
M 6.663 km E of Lakatoro, Vanuatu181.0 km2019-07-31 15:02:33 UTCView event →
M 5.063 km ESE of Lakatoro, Vanuatu188.8 km2019-07-31 19:11:44 UTCView event →
M 4.833 km ENE of Port-Olry, Vanuatu103.3 km2019-08-05 04:21:04 UTCView event →
M 5.937 km SE of Port-Vila, Vanuatu150.0 km2019-08-06 22:14:14 UTCView event →
M 5.952 km E of Luganville, Vanuatu124.0 km2019-08-07 05:32:40 UTCView event →

Interpretation

Explore clusters of M4.5+ events observed around significant earthquakes. These clusters are descriptive and are not presented as earthquake predictions. Historical small-earthquake detection varies through time. Long-term comparisons are most robust at higher magnitude thresholds.

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