Sequence · 2022-05-19

M 6.9 · Observed seismic cluster · Macquarie Island region

Explore clusters of M4.5+ events observed around significant earthquakes. These clusters are descriptive and are not presented as earthquake predictions.

M4.5+ events in cluster4
M6+1
Analysis radius324 km
Observation window14 days
Largest secondary eventM 4.6
Quake Pulse · Strong sequence

What the sequence shows

After the M 6.9 reference event, Quake Pulse counts 3 M4+ event(s) in the first 24 hours and 3 in the first 7 days. Fourteen-day M4.5+ activity is about 6.0× the average equivalent derived from the previous year. The largest secondary event is M 2.3 below the reference event.

68/100Sequence score
Events in the previous 24 h1
In the first hour0
In the first 24 hours3
In the first 7 days3
Within 14 days3
Peak one-hour count1

Local historical context

Descriptive comparison with M4.5+ events observed in the same radius during the 365 days before the sequence.

M4.5+ events / 365 d2Average 14-day equivalent0.1Activity / baseline ratio6.0×

A ratio above 1 means denser M4.5+ activity than the average equivalent derived from the previous 365 days. It is not a risk measure or a forecast.

Reference event

Largest secondary eventM 4.6Magnitude gapM 2.3Observed duration0.3 d

Earlier events are shown as context only. They are not labelled precursors and should not be interpreted as predictive signals.

Evolving sequence map

Shows M4+ cluster events according to elapsed time after the reference event.

Macquarie Island region · 324 kmInteractive 3D view of earthquakes within 324 km of Macquarie Island region.Macquarie Island regionM 4.5 · Macquarie Island region · 19.8 kmM 4.5 · Macquarie Island region · 6.4 kmM 4.6 · Macquarie Island region · 18.3 km
Macquarie Island region324 km3 Recent earthquakes

Detailed timeline

Dots represent M4+ events retained by the sequence detector. Dot size depends on magnitude.

Sequences are descriptive groupings based on spatial and temporal proximity. Quake Pulse does not establish a causal link between every event here and does not provide earthquake forecasts.

Quake Pulse

Main-event impact

3 Felt reports · PAGER GREEN · Tsunami indicator · Shallow

62/100
Impact and context →

M4.5+ events in cluster

MagnitudeLocationDepthTime
M 6.9Macquarie Island region10.0 km2022-05-19 10:13:31 UTCView event →
M 4.5Macquarie Island region10.0 km2022-05-19 13:17:05 UTCView event →
M 4.5Macquarie Island region10.0 km2022-05-19 15:09:14 UTCView event →
M 4.6Macquarie Island region7.1 km2022-05-19 16:19:05 UTCView event →

Interpretation

Explore clusters of M4.5+ events observed around significant earthquakes. These clusters are descriptive and are not presented as earthquake predictions. Historical small-earthquake detection varies through time. Long-term comparisons are most robust at higher magnitude thresholds.

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