Sequence · 2022-12-04

M 6.8 · Observed seismic cluster · 109 km NE of Hihifo, Tonga

Explore clusters of M4.5+ events observed around significant earthquakes. These clusters are descriptive and are not presented as earthquake predictions.

M4.5+ events in cluster8
M6+1
Analysis radius308 km
Observation window14 days
Largest secondary eventM 5.6
Quake Pulse · Strong sequence

What the sequence shows

After the M 6.8 reference event, Quake Pulse counts 5 M4+ event(s) in the first 24 hours and 7 in the first 7 days. Fourteen-day M4.5+ activity is about 1.2× the average equivalent derived from the previous year. The largest secondary event is M 1.2 below the reference event.

68/100Sequence score
Events in the previous 24 h0
In the first hour0
In the first 24 hours5
In the first 7 days7
Within 14 days7
Peak one-hour count2

Local historical context

Descriptive comparison with M4.5+ events observed in the same radius during the 365 days before the sequence.

M4.5+ events / 365 d150Average 14-day equivalent5.8Activity / baseline ratio1.2×

A ratio above 1 means denser M4.5+ activity than the average equivalent derived from the previous 365 days. It is not a risk measure or a forecast.

Reference event

Largest secondary eventM 5.6Magnitude gapM 1.2Observed duration3.6 d

Earlier events are shown as context only. They are not labelled precursors and should not be interpreted as predictive signals.

Evolving sequence map

Shows M4+ cluster events according to elapsed time after the reference event.

109 km NE of Hihifo, Tonga · 308 kmInteractive 3D view of earthquakes within 308 km of 109 km NE of Hihifo, Tonga.109 km NE of Hihifo, TongaM 5.0 · 125 km NE of Hihifo, Tonga · 38.2 kmM 4.5 · 119 km NNE of Hihifo, Tonga · 44.2 kmM 5.0 · Samoa Islands region · 142.6 kmM 5.4 · 90 km NNW of Hihifo, Tonga · 131.1 kmM 5.6 · 109 km NE of Hihifo, Tonga · 18.3 km
109 km NE of Hihifo, Tonga308 km5 Recent earthquakes

Detailed timeline

Dots represent M4+ events retained by the sequence detector. Dot size depends on magnitude.

Sequences are descriptive groupings based on spatial and temporal proximity. Quake Pulse does not establish a causal link between every event here and does not provide earthquake forecasts.

Quake Pulse

Main-event impact

19 Felt reports · PAGER GREEN · Tsunami indicator · Shallow

64/100
Impact and context →

M4.5+ events in cluster

MagnitudeLocationDepthTime
M 6.8109 km NE of Hihifo, Tonga38.0 km2022-12-04 19:24:15 UTCView event →
M 5.0125 km NE of Hihifo, Tonga10.0 km2022-12-04 20:27:21 UTCView event →
M 4.5119 km NNE of Hihifo, Tonga10.0 km2022-12-04 21:14:09 UTCView event →
M 5.0Samoa Islands region17.4 km2022-12-04 23:38:18 UTCView event →
M 5.490 km NNW of Hihifo, Tonga151.3 km2022-12-05 14:21:26 UTCView event →
M 5.6109 km NE of Hihifo, Tonga39.0 km2022-12-05 16:19:23 UTCView event →
M 4.6150 km SSE of Hihifo, Tonga25.2 km2022-12-07 18:22:22 UTCView event →
M 5.5Samoa Islands region10.0 km2022-12-08 10:06:35 UTCView event →

Interpretation

Explore clusters of M4.5+ events observed around significant earthquakes. These clusters are descriptive and are not presented as earthquake predictions. Historical small-earthquake detection varies through time. Long-term comparisons are most robust at higher magnitude thresholds.

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