Sequence · 2023-02-23

M 6.9 · Observed seismic cluster · 65 km WSW of Murghob, Tajikistan

Explore clusters of M4.5+ events observed around significant earthquakes. These clusters are descriptive and are not presented as earthquake predictions.

M4.5+ events in cluster11
M6+1
Analysis radius324 km
Observation window14 days
Largest secondary eventM 5.1
Quake Pulse · Strong sequence

What the sequence shows

After the M 6.9 reference event, Quake Pulse counts 8 M4+ event(s) in the first 24 hours and 10 in the first 7 days. Fourteen-day M4.5+ activity is about 4.9× the average equivalent derived from the previous year. The largest secondary event is M 1.8 below the reference event.

69/100Sequence score
Events in the previous 24 h0
In the first hour3
In the first 24 hours8
In the first 7 days10
Within 14 days10
Peak one-hour count3

Local historical context

Descriptive comparison with M4.5+ events observed in the same radius during the 365 days before the sequence.

M4.5+ events / 365 d53Average 14-day equivalent2.0Activity / baseline ratio4.9×

A ratio above 1 means denser M4.5+ activity than the average equivalent derived from the previous 365 days. It is not a risk measure or a forecast.

Reference event

Largest secondary eventM 5.1Magnitude gapM 1.8Observed duration5.2 d

Earlier events are shown as context only. They are not labelled precursors and should not be interpreted as predictive signals.

Evolving sequence map

Shows M4+ cluster events according to elapsed time after the reference event.

Detailed timeline

Dots represent M4+ events retained by the sequence detector. Dot size depends on magnitude.

Sequences are descriptive groupings based on spatial and temporal proximity. Quake Pulse does not establish a causal link between every event here and does not provide earthquake forecasts.

Quake Pulse

Main-event impact

33 Felt reports · PAGER GREEN · Shallow

60/100
Impact and context →

M4.5+ events in cluster

MagnitudeLocationDepthTime
M 6.965 km WSW of Murghob, Tajikistan9.0 km2023-02-23 00:37:38 UTCView event →
M 5.179 km W of Murghob, Tajikistan10.0 km2023-02-23 00:55:14 UTCView event →
M 4.670 km W of Murghob, Tajikistan15.5 km2023-02-23 00:57:43 UTCView event →
M 5.062 km WSW of Murghob, Tajikistan10.0 km2023-02-23 01:35:53 UTCView event →
M 4.646 km WSW of Murghob, Tajikistan12.0 km2023-02-23 02:07:42 UTCView event →
M 4.774 km W of Murghob, Tajikistan10.0 km2023-02-23 02:18:00 UTCView event →
M 4.585 km WNW of Murghob, Tajikistan10.0 km2023-02-23 06:50:46 UTCView event →
M 4.772 km W of Murghob, Tajikistan10.0 km2023-02-23 08:01:02 UTCView event →
M 4.792 km WNW of Murghob, Tajikistan10.0 km2023-02-23 11:24:28 UTCView event →
M 4.6southern Xinjiang, China10.0 km2023-02-27 19:36:02 UTCView event →
M 5.0Tajikistan-Xinjiang border region10.0 km2023-02-28 04:20:59 UTCView event →

Interpretation

Explore clusters of M4.5+ events observed around significant earthquakes. These clusters are descriptive and are not presented as earthquake predictions. Historical small-earthquake detection varies through time. Long-term comparisons are most robust at higher magnitude thresholds.

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