Sequence · 2023-04-02

M 7.0 · Observed seismic cluster · 40 km ESE of Ambunti, Papua New Guinea

Explore clusters of M4.5+ events observed around significant earthquakes. These clusters are descriptive and are not presented as earthquake predictions.

M4.5+ events in cluster11
M6+1
Analysis radius340 km
Observation window14 days
Largest secondary eventM 5.3
Quake Pulse · Major sequence

What the sequence shows

After the M 7.0 reference event, Quake Pulse counts 3 M4+ event(s) in the first 24 hours and 6 in the first 7 days. Fourteen-day M4.5+ activity is about 3.5× the average equivalent derived from the previous year. The largest secondary event is M 1.7 below the reference event.

75/100Sequence score
Events in the previous 24 h0
In the first hour1
In the first 24 hours3
In the first 7 days6
Within 14 days10
Peak one-hour count2

Local historical context

Descriptive comparison with M4.5+ events observed in the same radius during the 365 days before the sequence.

M4.5+ events / 365 d74Average 14-day equivalent2.8Activity / baseline ratio3.5×

A ratio above 1 means denser M4.5+ activity than the average equivalent derived from the previous 365 days. It is not a risk measure or a forecast.

Reference event

Largest secondary eventM 5.3Magnitude gapM 1.7Observed duration12.0 d

Earlier events are shown as context only. They are not labelled precursors and should not be interpreted as predictive signals.

Evolving sequence map

Shows M4+ cluster events according to elapsed time after the reference event.

40 km ESE of Ambunti, Papua New Guinea · 340 kmInteractive 3D view of earthquakes within 340 km of 40 km ESE of Ambunti, Papua New Guinea.40 km ESE of Ambunti, Papua New GuineaM 4.6 · 33 km ESE of Ambunti, Papua New Guinea · 7.2 kmM 4.5 · New Guinea, Papua New Guinea · 17.8 kmM 4.5 · 38 km E of Ambunti, Papua New Guinea · 9.5 km
40 km ESE of Ambunti, Papua New Guinea340 km3 Recent earthquakes

Detailed timeline

Dots represent M4+ events retained by the sequence detector. Dot size depends on magnitude.

Sequences are descriptive groupings based on spatial and temporal proximity. Quake Pulse does not establish a causal link between every event here and does not provide earthquake forecasts.

Quake Pulse

Main-event impact

77 Felt reports · PAGER GREEN · Tsunami indicator · Intermediate

74/100
Impact and context →

M4.5+ events in cluster

MagnitudeLocationDepthTime
M 7.040 km ESE of Ambunti, Papua New Guinea70.0 km2023-04-02 18:04:11 UTCView event →
M 4.633 km ESE of Ambunti, Papua New Guinea73.1 km2023-04-02 18:18:43 UTCView event →
M 4.5New Guinea, Papua New Guinea84.0 km2023-04-02 19:12:07 UTCView event →
M 4.538 km E of Ambunti, Papua New Guinea76.8 km2023-04-02 19:13:59 UTCView event →
M 4.641 km ESE of Ambunti, Papua New Guinea90.9 km2023-04-05 01:01:21 UTCView event →
M 5.347 km WNW of Aitape, Papua New Guinea69.6 km2023-04-08 14:11:58 UTCView event →
M 4.954 km ESE of Ambunti, Papua New Guinea72.0 km2023-04-08 22:23:19 UTCView event →
M 5.067 km SSW of Tari, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2023-04-10 21:13:14 UTCView event →
M 4.8125 km ENE of Angoram, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2023-04-13 01:50:27 UTCView event →
M 4.9117 km NE of Angoram, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2023-04-13 02:17:49 UTCView event →
M 5.1New Guinea, Papua New Guinea85.8 km2023-04-14 18:09:25 UTCView event →

Interpretation

Explore clusters of M4.5+ events observed around significant earthquakes. These clusters are descriptive and are not presented as earthquake predictions. Historical small-earthquake detection varies through time. Long-term comparisons are most robust at higher magnitude thresholds.

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