Sequence · 2023-05-10

M 7.6 · Observed seismic cluster · 82 km WNW of Hihifo, Tonga

Explore clusters of M4.5+ events observed around significant earthquakes. These clusters are descriptive and are not presented as earthquake predictions.

M4.5+ events in cluster11
M6+1
Analysis radius436 km
Observation window14 days
Largest secondary eventM 5.7
Quake Pulse · Major sequence

What the sequence shows

After the M 7.6 reference event, Quake Pulse counts 5 M4+ event(s) in the first 24 hours and 8 in the first 7 days. Fourteen-day M4.5+ activity is about 1.4× the average equivalent derived from the previous year. The largest secondary event is M 1.9 below the reference event.

84/100Sequence score
Events in the previous 24 h0
In the first hour4
In the first 24 hours5
In the first 7 days8
Within 14 days13
Peak one-hour count4

Local historical context

Descriptive comparison with M4.5+ events observed in the same radius during the 365 days before the sequence.

M4.5+ events / 365 d237Average 14-day equivalent9.1Activity / baseline ratio1.4×

A ratio above 1 means denser M4.5+ activity than the average equivalent derived from the previous 365 days. It is not a risk measure or a forecast.

Reference event

Largest secondary eventM 5.7Magnitude gapM 1.9Observed duration11.9 d

Earlier events are shown as context only. They are not labelled precursors and should not be interpreted as predictive signals.

Evolving sequence map

Shows M4+ cluster events according to elapsed time after the reference event.

82 km WNW of Hihifo, Tonga · 436 kmInteractive 3D view of earthquakes within 436 km of 82 km WNW of Hihifo, Tonga.82 km WNW of Hihifo, TongaM 4.8 · 48 km WNW of Hihifo, Tonga · 34.9 kmM 4.7 · 80 km WNW of Hihifo, Tonga · 4.0 kmM 5.0 · 74 km WNW of Hihifo, Tonga · 10.6 kmM 4.7 · 98 km WNW of Hihifo, Tonga · 15.2 kmM 4.6 · 94 km WNW of Hihifo, Tonga · 12.1 km
82 km WNW of Hihifo, Tonga436 km5 Recent earthquakes

Detailed timeline

Dots represent M4+ events retained by the sequence detector. Dot size depends on magnitude.

Sequences are descriptive groupings based on spatial and temporal proximity. Quake Pulse does not establish a causal link between every event here and does not provide earthquake forecasts.

Quake Pulse

Main-event impact

26 Felt reports · PAGER GREEN · Tsunami indicator · Intermediate

73/100
Impact and context →

M4.5+ events in cluster

MagnitudeLocationDepthTime
M 7.682 km WNW of Hihifo, Tonga210.0 km2023-05-10 16:02:00 UTCView event →
M 4.848 km WNW of Hihifo, Tonga175.5 km2023-05-10 16:11:36 UTCView event →
M 4.780 km WNW of Hihifo, Tonga165.8 km2023-05-10 16:13:39 UTCView event →
M 5.074 km WNW of Hihifo, Tonga198.8 km2023-05-10 16:32:40 UTCView event →
M 4.798 km WNW of Hihifo, Tonga222.7 km2023-05-10 16:33:52 UTCView event →
M 4.694 km WNW of Hihifo, Tonga211.8 km2023-05-10 20:13:35 UTCView event →
M 4.7Tonga28.5 km2023-05-12 13:24:45 UTCView event →
M 4.5Fiji region565.1 km2023-05-14 18:42:48 UTCView event →
M 4.5Fiji region566.1 km2023-05-15 16:41:25 UTCView event →
M 4.5234 km E of Levuka, Fiji576.9 km2023-05-18 17:29:16 UTCView event →
M 4.6129 km NE of Hihifo, Tonga10.0 km2023-05-19 10:16:59 UTCView event →
M 5.7104 km SE of Neiafu, Tonga16.0 km2023-05-21 05:23:11 UTCView event →
M 5.2104 km SE of Neiafu, Tonga10.0 km2023-05-21 11:26:03 UTCView event →
M 5.034 km NE of Hihifo, Tonga38.7 km2023-05-22 13:30:38 UTCView event →

Interpretation

Explore clusters of M4.5+ events observed around significant earthquakes. These clusters are descriptive and are not presented as earthquake predictions. Historical small-earthquake detection varies through time. Long-term comparisons are most robust at higher magnitude thresholds.

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