Sequence · 2019-04-12

M 6.8 · Observed seismic cluster · Sulawesi, Indonesia

Explore clusters of M4.5+ events observed around significant earthquakes. These clusters are descriptive and are not presented as earthquake predictions.

M4.5+ events in cluster19
M6+1
Analysis radius308 km
Observation window14 days
Largest secondary eventM 5.7
Quake Pulse · Strong sequence

What the sequence shows

After the M 6.8 reference event, Quake Pulse counts 11 M4+ event(s) in the first 24 hours and 15 in the first 7 days. Fourteen-day M4.5+ activity is about 5.3× the average equivalent derived from the previous year. The largest secondary event is M 1.1 below the reference event.

74/100Sequence score
Events in the previous 24 h0
In the first hour5
In the first 24 hours11
In the first 7 days15
Within 14 days19
Peak one-hour count5

Local historical context

Descriptive comparison with M4.5+ events observed in the same radius during the 365 days before the sequence.

M4.5+ events / 365 d94Average 14-day equivalent3.6Activity / baseline ratio5.3×

A ratio above 1 means denser M4.5+ activity than the average equivalent derived from the previous 365 days. It is not a risk measure or a forecast.

Reference event

Largest secondary eventM 5.7Magnitude gapM 1.1Observed duration13.4 d

Earlier events are shown as context only. They are not labelled precursors and should not be interpreted as predictive signals.

Evolving sequence map

Shows M4+ cluster events according to elapsed time after the reference event.

Detailed timeline

Dots represent M4+ events retained by the sequence detector. Dot size depends on magnitude.

Sequences are descriptive groupings based on spatial and temporal proximity. Quake Pulse does not establish a causal link between every event here and does not provide earthquake forecasts.

Quake Pulse

Main-event impact

11 Felt reports · PAGER GREEN · Shallow

54/100
Impact and context →

M4.5+ events in cluster

MagnitudeLocationDepthTime
M 6.8Sulawesi, Indonesia15.5 km2019-04-12 11:40:49 UTCView event →
M 5.7102 km S of Luwuk, Indonesia10.0 km2019-04-12 11:45:36 UTCView event →
M 5.380 km SSW of Luwuk, Indonesia10.0 km2019-04-12 11:50:11 UTCView event →
M 4.7118 km SSW of Luwuk, Indonesia10.0 km2019-04-12 12:03:54 UTCView event →
M 5.4102 km SSW of Luwuk, Indonesia10.0 km2019-04-12 12:12:12 UTCView event →
M 4.7104 km SSW of Luwuk, Indonesia10.0 km2019-04-12 12:14:57 UTCView event →
M 4.6101 km S of Luwuk, Indonesia10.0 km2019-04-12 15:08:28 UTCView event →
M 4.8101 km S of Luwuk, Indonesia15.1 km2019-04-12 20:15:07 UTCView event →
M 4.8108 km S of Luwuk, Indonesia9.7 km2019-04-12 22:59:27 UTCView event →
M 4.5104 km S of Luwuk, Indonesia10.0 km2019-04-13 04:23:27 UTCView event →
M 5.0100 km SSW of Luwuk, Indonesia10.0 km2019-04-13 05:26:14 UTCView event →
M 4.991 km S of Luwuk, Indonesia10.0 km2019-04-13 05:26:45 UTCView event →
M 4.6118 km SSW of Luwuk, Indonesia10.0 km2019-04-14 17:17:30 UTCView event →
M 4.693 km SW of Gorontalo, Indonesia259.3 km2019-04-16 15:44:24 UTCView event →
M 4.6200 km N of Palu, Indonesia27.2 km2019-04-16 23:12:44 UTCView event →
M 4.592 km SSW of Luwuk, Indonesia10.0 km2019-04-17 05:39:09 UTCView event →
M 5.0112 km SSW of Luwuk, Indonesia10.0 km2019-04-20 00:55:36 UTCView event →
M 4.694 km S of Luwuk, Indonesia10.0 km2019-04-22 13:52:16 UTCView event →
M 4.793 km SSW of Luwuk, Indonesia10.0 km2019-04-24 18:22:41 UTCView event →
M 5.4112 km SSW of Luwuk, Indonesia10.0 km2019-04-25 21:57:46 UTCView event →

Interpretation

Explore clusters of M4.5+ events observed around significant earthquakes. These clusters are descriptive and are not presented as earthquake predictions. Historical small-earthquake detection varies through time. Long-term comparisons are most robust at higher magnitude thresholds.

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