Sequence · 2019-05-14

M 7.6 · Observed seismic cluster · 48 km NE of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea

Explore clusters of M4.5+ events observed around significant earthquakes. These clusters are descriptive and are not presented as earthquake predictions.

M4.5+ events in cluster41
M6+1
Analysis radius436 km
Observation window14 days
Largest secondary eventM 5.9
Quake Pulse · Major sequence

What the sequence shows

After the M 7.6 reference event, Quake Pulse counts 20 M4+ event(s) in the first 24 hours and 37 in the first 7 days. Fourteen-day M4.5+ activity is about 3.9× the average equivalent derived from the previous year. The largest secondary event is M 1.7 below the reference event.

89/100Sequence score
Events in the previous 24 h0
In the first hour6
In the first 24 hours20
In the first 7 days37
Within 14 days40
Peak one-hour count7

Local historical context

Descriptive comparison with M4.5+ events observed in the same radius during the 365 days before the sequence.

M4.5+ events / 365 d266Average 14-day equivalent10.2Activity / baseline ratio3.9×

A ratio above 1 means denser M4.5+ activity than the average equivalent derived from the previous 365 days. It is not a risk measure or a forecast.

Reference event

Largest secondary eventM 5.9Magnitude gapM 1.7Observed duration12.9 d

Earlier events are shown as context only. They are not labelled precursors and should not be interpreted as predictive signals.

Evolving sequence map

Shows M4+ cluster events according to elapsed time after the reference event.

Detailed timeline

Dots represent M4+ events retained by the sequence detector. Dot size depends on magnitude.

Sequences are descriptive groupings based on spatial and temporal proximity. Quake Pulse does not establish a causal link between every event here and does not provide earthquake forecasts.

Quake Pulse

Main-event impact

58 Felt reports · PAGER GREEN · Tsunami indicator · Shallow

73/100
Impact and context →

M4.5+ events in cluster

MagnitudeLocationDepthTime
M 7.648 km NE of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2019-05-14 12:58:25 UTCView event →
M 4.957 km WNW of Rabaul, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2019-05-14 13:13:49 UTCView event →
M 4.756 km NE of Rabaul, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2019-05-14 13:17:08 UTCView event →
M 4.815 km ENE of Rabaul, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2019-05-14 13:26:06 UTCView event →
M 4.539 km SE of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2019-05-14 13:27:11 UTCView event →
M 4.564 km NE of Rabaul, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2019-05-14 13:31:57 UTCView event →
M 5.046 km ENE of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2019-05-14 13:38:20 UTCView event →
M 4.536 km ENE of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2019-05-14 14:01:18 UTCView event →
M 4.775 km E of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2019-05-14 14:25:05 UTCView event →
M 4.876 km ENE of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2019-05-14 14:30:45 UTCView event →
M 4.860 km NE of Rabaul, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2019-05-14 14:33:15 UTCView event →
M 5.049 km NNW of Rabaul, Papua New Guinea12.1 km2019-05-14 14:36:34 UTCView event →
M 4.642 km NE of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2019-05-14 14:54:17 UTCView event →
M 4.5100 km ESE of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2019-05-14 14:56:12 UTCView event →
M 4.764 km ENE of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2019-05-14 15:37:11 UTCView event →
M 4.534 km W of Rabaul, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2019-05-14 16:06:29 UTCView event →
M 4.557 km ENE of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea16.2 km2019-05-14 17:25:06 UTCView event →
M 4.577 km NE of Rabaul, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2019-05-14 17:51:53 UTCView event →
M 4.758 km NNW of Rabaul, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2019-05-14 20:09:33 UTCView event →
M 5.5213 km WSW of Kavieng, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2019-05-15 00:33:45 UTCView event →
M 4.7181 km WSW of Kavieng, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2019-05-15 00:42:48 UTCView event →
M 5.7108 km SSE of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea21.0 km2019-05-16 01:23:58 UTCView event →
M 4.547 km NNW of Rabaul, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2019-05-16 06:39:46 UTCView event →
M 4.647 km N of Rabaul, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2019-05-16 09:37:16 UTCView event →
M 4.961 km E of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2019-05-16 10:17:13 UTCView event →
M 5.0121 km SE of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2019-05-16 12:09:44 UTCView event →
M 4.676 km E of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2019-05-16 13:14:40 UTCView event →
M 4.884 km NE of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2019-05-17 03:27:04 UTCView event →
M 5.986 km ESE of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea21.0 km2019-05-17 22:37:47 UTCView event →
M 4.5101 km ESE of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2019-05-18 05:33:59 UTCView event →
M 5.1109 km SSE of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2019-05-18 14:58:30 UTCView event →
M 4.656 km ENE of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea14.7 km2019-05-19 06:32:43 UTCView event →
M 5.294 km WSW of Panguna, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2019-05-20 01:15:48 UTCView event →
M 4.7100 km WSW of Panguna, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2019-05-20 01:28:08 UTCView event →
M 5.2114 km WSW of Panguna, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2019-05-20 06:02:14 UTCView event →
M 4.646 km SW of Kavieng, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2019-05-20 19:50:00 UTCView event →
M 4.975 km WSW of Kavieng, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2019-05-21 04:04:39 UTCView event →
M 4.7186 km SE of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2019-05-21 08:09:58 UTCView event →
M 4.569 km ENE of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea20.2 km2019-05-26 15:18:36 UTCView event →
M 4.557 km NW of Rabaul, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2019-05-26 15:22:53 UTCView event →
M 5.076 km ESE of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea57.5 km2019-05-27 10:14:20 UTCView event →

Interpretation

Explore clusters of M4.5+ events observed around significant earthquakes. These clusters are descriptive and are not presented as earthquake predictions. Historical small-earthquake detection varies through time. Long-term comparisons are most robust at higher magnitude thresholds.

Blog

Latest from the blog

Guides, explainers and practical reading to go beyond the live data.

View all articles →