Sequence · 2020-07-17

M 7.0 · Observed seismic cluster · 114 km NNW of Popondetta, Papua New Guinea

Explore clusters of M4.5+ events observed around significant earthquakes. These clusters are descriptive and are not presented as earthquake predictions.

M4.5+ events in cluster4
M6+1
Analysis radius340 km
Observation window14 days
Largest secondary eventM 4.8
Quake Pulse · Strong sequence

What the sequence shows

After the M 7.0 reference event, Quake Pulse counts 1 M4+ event(s) in the first 24 hours and 1 in the first 7 days. Fourteen-day M4.5+ activity is about 1.2× the average equivalent derived from the previous year. The largest secondary event is M 2.2 below the reference event.

63/100Sequence score
Events in the previous 24 h0
In the first hour0
In the first 24 hours1
In the first 7 days1
Within 14 days3
Peak one-hour count1

Local historical context

Descriptive comparison with M4.5+ events observed in the same radius during the 365 days before the sequence.

M4.5+ events / 365 d67Average 14-day equivalent2.6Activity / baseline ratio1.2×

A ratio above 1 means denser M4.5+ activity than the average equivalent derived from the previous 365 days. It is not a risk measure or a forecast.

Reference event

Largest secondary eventM 4.8Magnitude gapM 2.2Observed duration9.4 d

Earlier events are shown as context only. They are not labelled precursors and should not be interpreted as predictive signals.

Evolving sequence map

Shows M4+ cluster events according to elapsed time after the reference event.

114 km NNW of Popondetta, Papua New Guinea · 340 kmInteractive 3D view of earthquakes within 340 km of 114 km NNW of Popondetta, Papua New Guinea.114 km NNW of Popondetta, Papua New GuineaM 4.8 · 88 km NNW of Popondetta, Papua New Guinea · 27.2 km
114 km NNW of Popondetta, Papua New Guinea340 km1 Recent earthquakes

Detailed timeline

Dots represent M4+ events retained by the sequence detector. Dot size depends on magnitude.

Sequences are descriptive groupings based on spatial and temporal proximity. Quake Pulse does not establish a causal link between every event here and does not provide earthquake forecasts.

Quake Pulse

Main-event impact

103 Felt reports · PAGER GREEN · Tsunami indicator · Intermediate

73/100
Impact and context →

M4.5+ events in cluster

MagnitudeLocationDepthTime
M 7.0114 km NNW of Popondetta, Papua New Guinea73.0 km2020-07-17 02:50:22 UTCView event →
M 4.888 km NNW of Popondetta, Papua New Guinea97.3 km2020-07-17 17:35:51 UTCView event →
M 4.770 km N of Lae, Papua New Guinea83.2 km2020-07-24 22:23:55 UTCView event →
M 4.725 km NW of Kandrian, Papua New Guinea88.3 km2020-07-26 13:28:27 UTCView event →

Interpretation

Explore clusters of M4.5+ events observed around significant earthquakes. These clusters are descriptive and are not presented as earthquake predictions. Historical small-earthquake detection varies through time. Long-term comparisons are most robust at higher magnitude thresholds.

Blog

Latest from the blog

Guides, explainers and practical reading to go beyond the live data.

View all articles →