Sequence · 2021-05-14

M 6.7 · Observed seismic cluster · 260 km S of Sinabang, Indonesia

Explore clusters of M4.5+ events observed around significant earthquakes. These clusters are descriptive and are not presented as earthquake predictions.

M4.5+ events in cluster9
M6+1
Analysis radius292 km
Observation window14 days
Largest secondary eventM 4.9
Quake Pulse · Strong sequence

What the sequence shows

After the M 6.7 reference event, Quake Pulse counts 6 M4+ event(s) in the first 24 hours and 7 in the first 7 days. Fourteen-day M4.5+ activity is about 7.4× the average equivalent derived from the previous year. The largest secondary event is M 1.8 below the reference event.

66/100Sequence score
Events in the previous 24 h0
In the first hour3
In the first 24 hours6
In the first 7 days7
Within 14 days8
Peak one-hour count3

Local historical context

Descriptive comparison with M4.5+ events observed in the same radius during the 365 days before the sequence.

M4.5+ events / 365 d28Average 14-day equivalent1.1Activity / baseline ratio7.4×

A ratio above 1 means denser M4.5+ activity than the average equivalent derived from the previous 365 days. It is not a risk measure or a forecast.

Reference event

Largest secondary eventM 4.9Magnitude gapM 1.8Observed duration13.8 d

Earlier events are shown as context only. They are not labelled precursors and should not be interpreted as predictive signals.

Evolving sequence map

Shows M4+ cluster events according to elapsed time after the reference event.

260 km S of Sinabang, Indonesia · 292 kmInteractive 3D view of earthquakes within 292 km of 260 km S of Sinabang, Indonesia.260 km S of Sinabang, IndonesiaM 4.7 · 289 km S of Sinabang, Indonesia · 28.6 kmM 4.7 · 273 km S of Sinabang, Indonesia · 14.7 kmM 4.7 · 254 km S of Sinabang, Indonesia · 7.7 kmM 4.5 · 209 km S of Sinabang, Indonesia · 61.1 kmM 4.9 · 274 km S of Sinabang, Indonesia · 17.6 kmM 4.5 · 267 km S of Sinabang, Indonesia · 7.4 km
260 km S of Sinabang, Indonesia292 km6 Recent earthquakes

Detailed timeline

Dots represent M4+ events retained by the sequence detector. Dot size depends on magnitude.

Sequences are descriptive groupings based on spatial and temporal proximity. Quake Pulse does not establish a causal link between every event here and does not provide earthquake forecasts.

Quake Pulse

Main-event impact

9 Felt reports · PAGER GREEN · Shallow

53/100
Impact and context →

M4.5+ events in cluster

MagnitudeLocationDepthTime
M 6.7260 km S of Sinabang, Indonesia11.0 km2021-05-14 06:33:07 UTCView event →
M 4.7289 km S of Sinabang, Indonesia10.0 km2021-05-14 06:43:17 UTCView event →
M 4.7273 km S of Sinabang, Indonesia10.0 km2021-05-14 06:47:48 UTCView event →
M 4.7254 km S of Sinabang, Indonesia10.0 km2021-05-14 07:16:04 UTCView event →
M 4.5209 km S of Sinabang, Indonesia10.0 km2021-05-14 07:48:32 UTCView event →
M 4.9274 km S of Sinabang, Indonesia10.0 km2021-05-14 09:16:32 UTCView event →
M 4.5267 km S of Sinabang, Indonesia10.0 km2021-05-14 18:51:01 UTCView event →
M 4.8Nias region, Indonesia10.0 km2021-05-17 12:21:56 UTCView event →
M 4.7254 km S of Sinabang, Indonesia10.0 km2021-05-28 01:08:21 UTCView event →

Interpretation

Explore clusters of M4.5+ events observed around significant earthquakes. These clusters are descriptive and are not presented as earthquake predictions. Historical small-earthquake detection varies through time. Long-term comparisons are most robust at higher magnitude thresholds.

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