Sequence · 2021-12-29

M 7.3 · Observed seismic cluster · 125 km NNE of Lospalos, Timor Leste

Explore clusters of M4.5+ events observed around significant earthquakes. These clusters are descriptive and are not presented as earthquake predictions.

M4.5+ events in cluster10
M6+1
Analysis radius388 km
Observation window14 days
Largest secondary eventM 5.0
Quake Pulse · Major sequence

What the sequence shows

After the M 7.3 reference event, Quake Pulse counts 6 M4+ event(s) in the first 24 hours and 10 in the first 7 days. Fourteen-day M4.5+ activity is about 2.1× the average equivalent derived from the previous year. The largest secondary event is M 1.3 below the reference event.

78/100Sequence score
Events in the previous 24 h0
In the first hour1
In the first 24 hours6
In the first 7 days10
Within 14 days11
Peak one-hour count1

Local historical context

Descriptive comparison with M4.5+ events observed in the same radius during the 365 days before the sequence.

M4.5+ events / 365 d137Average 14-day equivalent5.3Activity / baseline ratio2.1×

A ratio above 1 means denser M4.5+ activity than the average equivalent derived from the previous 365 days. It is not a risk measure or a forecast.

Reference event

Largest secondary eventM 6.0Magnitude gapM 1.3Observed duration10.7 d

Earlier events are shown as context only. They are not labelled precursors and should not be interpreted as predictive signals.

Evolving sequence map

Shows M4+ cluster events according to elapsed time after the reference event.

125 km NNE of Lospalos, Timor Leste · 388 kmInteractive 3D view of earthquakes within 388 km of 125 km NNE of Lospalos, Timor Leste.125 km NNE of Lospalos, Timor LesteM 4.9 · 123 km NNE of Lospalos, Timor Leste · 6.1 kmM 4.6 · 131 km NE of Lospalos, Timor Leste · 28.4 kmM 5.0 · 135 km NE of Lospalos, Timor Leste · 19.9 kmM 4.8 · 117 km NNE of Lospalos, Timor Leste · 7.4 kmM 4.6 · 51 km SSE of Ambon, Indonesia · 390.5 kmM 4.5 · 120 km NE of Lospalos, Timor Leste · 14.7 km
125 km NNE of Lospalos, Timor Leste388 km6 Recent earthquakes

Detailed timeline

Dots represent M4+ events retained by the sequence detector. Dot size depends on magnitude.

Sequences are descriptive groupings based on spatial and temporal proximity. Quake Pulse does not establish a causal link between every event here and does not provide earthquake forecasts.

Quake Pulse

Main-event impact

127 Felt reports · PAGER GREEN · Intermediate

65/100
Impact and context →

M4.5+ events in cluster

MagnitudeLocationDepthTime
M 7.3125 km NNE of Lospalos, Timor Leste165.5 km2021-12-29 18:25:51 UTCView event →
M 4.9123 km NNE of Lospalos, Timor Leste163.9 km2021-12-29 19:21:12 UTCView event →
M 4.6131 km NE of Lospalos, Timor Leste176.7 km2021-12-29 19:53:04 UTCView event →
M 5.0135 km NE of Lospalos, Timor Leste157.7 km2021-12-29 20:32:52 UTCView event →
M 4.8117 km NNE of Lospalos, Timor Leste161.5 km2021-12-29 23:00:35 UTCView event →
M 4.651 km SSE of Ambon, Indonesia10.0 km2021-12-30 01:35:10 UTCView event →
M 4.5120 km NE of Lospalos, Timor Leste172.3 km2021-12-30 14:27:17 UTCView event →
M 4.6257 km NE of Lospalos, Timor Leste10.0 km2021-12-31 02:31:54 UTCView event →
M 4.6Pulau Pulau Tanimbar, Indonesia10.0 km2021-12-31 20:51:07 UTCView event →
M 4.5Kepulauan Barat Daya, Indonesia298.2 km2022-01-04 13:02:53 UTCView event →
M 6.0284 km E of Katabu, Indonesia544.0 km2022-01-04 20:55:46 UTCView event →
M 4.5297 km ENE of Lospalos, Timor Leste133.7 km2022-01-09 10:09:23 UTCView event →

Interpretation

Explore clusters of M4.5+ events observed around significant earthquakes. These clusters are descriptive and are not presented as earthquake predictions. Historical small-earthquake detection varies through time. Long-term comparisons are most robust at higher magnitude thresholds.

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