Sequence · 2022-11-11

M 7.3 · Observed seismic cluster · 205 km ESE of Neiafu, Tonga

Explore clusters of M4.5+ events observed around significant earthquakes. These clusters are descriptive and are not presented as earthquake predictions.

M4.5+ events in cluster17
M6+1
Analysis radius388 km
Observation window14 days
Largest secondary eventM 5.2
Quake Pulse · Major sequence

What the sequence shows

After the M 7.3 reference event, Quake Pulse counts 5 M4+ event(s) in the first 24 hours and 12 in the first 7 days. Fourteen-day M4.5+ activity is about 1.5× the average equivalent derived from the previous year. The largest secondary event is M 2.1 below the reference event.

80/100Sequence score
Events in the previous 24 h0
In the first hour1
In the first 24 hours5
In the first 7 days12
Within 14 days17
Peak one-hour count2

Local historical context

Descriptive comparison with M4.5+ events observed in the same radius during the 365 days before the sequence.

M4.5+ events / 365 d297Average 14-day equivalent11.4Activity / baseline ratio1.5×

A ratio above 1 means denser M4.5+ activity than the average equivalent derived from the previous 365 days. It is not a risk measure or a forecast.

Reference event

Largest secondary eventM 5.2Magnitude gapM 2.1Observed duration13.2 d

Earlier events are shown as context only. They are not labelled precursors and should not be interpreted as predictive signals.

Evolving sequence map

Shows M4+ cluster events according to elapsed time after the reference event.

205 km ESE of Neiafu, Tonga · 388 kmInteractive 3D view of earthquakes within 388 km of 205 km ESE of Neiafu, Tonga.205 km ESE of Neiafu, TongaM 4.5 · 160 km E of Neiafu, Tonga · 87.2 kmM 5.1 · 211 km ENE of Neiafu, Tonga · 127.3 kmM 4.6 · Tonga region · 81.5 kmM 4.8 · 166 km E of Neiafu, Tonga · 80.9 kmM 4.7 · 193 km E of Neiafu, Tonga · 55.5 km
205 km ESE of Neiafu, Tonga388 km5 Recent earthquakes

Detailed timeline

Dots represent M4+ events retained by the sequence detector. Dot size depends on magnitude.

Sequences are descriptive groupings based on spatial and temporal proximity. Quake Pulse does not establish a causal link between every event here and does not provide earthquake forecasts.

Quake Pulse

Main-event impact

28 Felt reports · PAGER GREEN · Tsunami indicator · Shallow

69/100
Impact and context →

M4.5+ events in cluster

MagnitudeLocationDepthTime
M 7.3205 km ESE of Neiafu, Tonga37.0 km2022-11-11 10:48:46 UTCView event →
M 4.5160 km E of Neiafu, Tonga25.0 km2022-11-11 11:11:07 UTCView event →
M 5.1211 km ENE of Neiafu, Tonga16.5 km2022-11-11 11:57:33 UTCView event →
M 4.6Tonga region27.5 km2022-11-11 12:25:22 UTCView event →
M 4.8166 km E of Neiafu, Tonga23.0 km2022-11-11 14:42:57 UTCView event →
M 4.7193 km E of Neiafu, Tonga17.2 km2022-11-11 15:07:34 UTCView event →
M 4.7Tonga region10.0 km2022-11-12 11:50:50 UTCView event →
M 4.8166 km ENE of Neiafu, Tonga10.0 km2022-11-12 14:09:20 UTCView event →
M 4.9Tonga region10.0 km2022-11-12 14:41:17 UTCView event →
M 4.9116 km E of Hihifo, Tonga10.0 km2022-11-13 03:55:37 UTCView event →
M 4.5156 km E of Neiafu, Tonga10.0 km2022-11-13 14:49:46 UTCView event →
M 4.8225 km ESE of Neiafu, Tonga10.0 km2022-11-14 15:24:58 UTCView event →
M 4.6142 km S of ‘Ohonua, Tonga10.0 km2022-11-14 21:02:29 UTCView event →
M 5.2103 km ENE of ‘Ohonua, Tonga10.0 km2022-11-21 10:55:39 UTCView event →
M 4.5220 km E of Neiafu, Tonga17.9 km2022-11-21 13:26:11 UTCView event →
M 4.6198 km ENE of Neiafu, Tonga10.0 km2022-11-23 08:28:40 UTCView event →
M 4.6Tonga region10.0 km2022-11-23 21:06:01 UTCView event →
M 5.1121 km E of Hihifo, Tonga23.3 km2022-11-24 15:01:09 UTCView event →

Interpretation

Explore clusters of M4.5+ events observed around significant earthquakes. These clusters are descriptive and are not presented as earthquake predictions. Historical small-earthquake detection varies through time. Long-term comparisons are most robust at higher magnitude thresholds.

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