Sequence · 2023-03-01

M 6.6 · Observed seismic cluster · 106 km NW of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea

Explore clusters of M4.5+ events observed around significant earthquakes. These clusters are descriptive and are not presented as earthquake predictions.

M4.5+ events in cluster7
M6+1
Analysis radius276 km
Observation window14 days
Largest secondary eventM 5.9
Quake Pulse · Strong sequence

What the sequence shows

After the M 6.6 reference event, Quake Pulse counts 2 M4+ event(s) in the first 24 hours and 6 in the first 7 days. Fourteen-day M4.5+ activity is about 1.6× the average equivalent derived from the previous year. The largest secondary event is M 0.7 below the reference event.

67/100Sequence score
Events in the previous 24 h0
In the first hour1
In the first 24 hours2
In the first 7 days6
Within 14 days6
Peak one-hour count2

Local historical context

Descriptive comparison with M4.5+ events observed in the same radius during the 365 days before the sequence.

M4.5+ events / 365 d97Average 14-day equivalent3.7Activity / baseline ratio1.6×

A ratio above 1 means denser M4.5+ activity than the average equivalent derived from the previous 365 days. It is not a risk measure or a forecast.

Reference event

Largest secondary eventM 5.9Magnitude gapM 0.7Observed duration6.6 d

Earlier events are shown as context only. They are not labelled precursors and should not be interpreted as predictive signals.

Evolving sequence map

Shows M4+ cluster events according to elapsed time after the reference event.

106 km NW of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea · 276 kmInteractive 3D view of earthquakes within 276 km of 106 km NW of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea.106 km NW of Kimbe, Papua New GuineaM 4.9 · 89 km NNW of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea · 25.4 kmM 4.7 · 35 km ENE of Kandrian, Papua New Guinea · 146.0 km
106 km NW of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea276 km2 Recent earthquakes

Detailed timeline

Dots represent M4+ events retained by the sequence detector. Dot size depends on magnitude.

Sequences are descriptive groupings based on spatial and temporal proximity. Quake Pulse does not establish a causal link between every event here and does not provide earthquake forecasts.

Quake Pulse

Main-event impact

4 Felt reports · PAGER GREEN · Tsunami indicator · Very deep

56/100
Impact and context →

M4.5+ events in cluster

MagnitudeLocationDepthTime
M 6.6106 km NW of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea600.9 km2023-03-01 05:36:14 UTCView event →
M 4.989 km NNW of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea608.9 km2023-03-01 05:41:23 UTCView event →
M 4.735 km ENE of Kandrian, Papua New Guinea51.1 km2023-03-01 11:12:07 UTCView event →
M 4.6143 km E of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea54.6 km2023-03-06 01:52:28 UTCView event →
M 5.967 km SSW of Kavieng, Papua New Guinea9.0 km2023-03-07 13:51:49 UTCView event →
M 5.497 km S of Kavieng, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2023-03-07 13:53:20 UTCView event →
M 5.3134 km SSW of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea74.2 km2023-03-07 20:46:05 UTCView event →

Interpretation

Explore clusters of M4.5+ events observed around significant earthquakes. These clusters are descriptive and are not presented as earthquake predictions. Historical small-earthquake detection varies through time. Long-term comparisons are most robust at higher magnitude thresholds.

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