Sequence · 2023-08-16

M 6.5 · Observed seismic cluster · 35 km W of Sola, Vanuatu

Explore clusters of M4.5+ events observed around significant earthquakes. These clusters are descriptive and are not presented as earthquake predictions.

M4.5+ events in cluster4
M6+1
Analysis radius260 km
Observation window14 days
Largest secondary eventM 4.8
Quake Pulse · Notable sequence

What the sequence shows

After the M 6.5 reference event, Quake Pulse counts 1 M4+ event(s) in the first 24 hours and 3 in the first 7 days. Fourteen-day M4.5+ activity is about 0.4× the average equivalent derived from the previous year. The largest secondary event is M 1.7 below the reference event.

46/100Sequence score
Events in the previous 24 h1
In the first hour0
In the first 24 hours1
In the first 7 days3
Within 14 days3
Peak one-hour count1

Local historical context

Descriptive comparison with M4.5+ events observed in the same radius during the 365 days before the sequence.

M4.5+ events / 365 d204Average 14-day equivalent7.8Activity / baseline ratio0.4×

A ratio above 1 means denser M4.5+ activity than the average equivalent derived from the previous 365 days. It is not a risk measure or a forecast.

Reference event

Largest secondary eventM 4.8Magnitude gapM 1.7Observed duration4.6 d

Earlier events are shown as context only. They are not labelled precursors and should not be interpreted as predictive signals.

Evolving sequence map

Shows M4+ cluster events according to elapsed time after the reference event.

35 km W of Sola, Vanuatu · 260 kmInteractive 3D view of earthquakes within 260 km of 35 km W of Sola, Vanuatu.35 km W of Sola, VanuatuM 4.5 · Santa Cruz Islands · 235.4 km
35 km W of Sola, Vanuatu260 km1 Recent earthquakes

Detailed timeline

Dots represent M4+ events retained by the sequence detector. Dot size depends on magnitude.

Sequences are descriptive groupings based on spatial and temporal proximity. Quake Pulse does not establish a causal link between every event here and does not provide earthquake forecasts.

Quake Pulse

Main-event impact

10 Felt reports · PAGER GREEN · Intermediate

49/100
Impact and context →

M4.5+ events in cluster

MagnitudeLocationDepthTime
M 6.535 km W of Sola, Vanuatu188.0 km2023-08-16 12:47:39 UTCView event →
M 4.5Santa Cruz Islands108.0 km2023-08-16 14:21:47 UTCView event →
M 4.5188 km NNW of Sola, Vanuatu285.6 km2023-08-18 20:36:15 UTCView event →
M 4.8Vanuatu51.9 km2023-08-21 04:15:20 UTCView event →

Interpretation

Explore clusters of M4.5+ events observed around significant earthquakes. These clusters are descriptive and are not presented as earthquake predictions. Historical small-earthquake detection varies through time. Long-term comparisons are most robust at higher magnitude thresholds.

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