Sequence · 2025-05-14

M 6.4 · Observed seismic cluster · 142 km W of Neiafu, Tonga

Explore clusters of M4.5+ events observed around significant earthquakes. These clusters are descriptive and are not presented as earthquake predictions.

M4.5+ events in cluster4
M6+1
Analysis radius244 km
Observation window14 days
Largest secondary eventM 4.9
Quake Pulse · Notable sequence

What the sequence shows

After the M 6.4 reference event, Quake Pulse counts 1 M4+ event(s) in the first 24 hours and 3 in the first 7 days. Fourteen-day M4.5+ activity is about 0.7× the average equivalent derived from the previous year. The largest secondary event is M 1.5 below the reference event.

50/100Sequence score
Events in the previous 24 h0
In the first hour0
In the first 24 hours1
In the first 7 days3
Within 14 days4
Peak one-hour count1

Local historical context

Descriptive comparison with M4.5+ events observed in the same radius during the 365 days before the sequence.

M4.5+ events / 365 d159Average 14-day equivalent6.1Activity / baseline ratio0.7×

A ratio above 1 means denser M4.5+ activity than the average equivalent derived from the previous 365 days. It is not a risk measure or a forecast.

Reference event

Largest secondary eventM 4.9Magnitude gapM 1.5Observed duration10.0 d

Earlier events are shown as context only. They are not labelled precursors and should not be interpreted as predictive signals.

Evolving sequence map

Shows M4+ cluster events according to elapsed time after the reference event.

142 km W of Neiafu, Tonga · 244 kmInteractive 3D view of earthquakes within 244 km of 142 km W of Neiafu, Tonga.142 km W of Neiafu, TongaM 4.5 · 258 km WNW of Houma, Tonga · 304.7 km
142 km W of Neiafu, Tonga244 km1 Recent earthquakes

Detailed timeline

Dots represent M4+ events retained by the sequence detector. Dot size depends on magnitude.

Sequences are descriptive groupings based on spatial and temporal proximity. Quake Pulse does not establish a causal link between every event here and does not provide earthquake forecasts.

Quake Pulse

Main-event impact

8 Felt reports · PAGER GREEN · Intermediate

45/100
Impact and context →

M4.5+ events in cluster

MagnitudeLocationDepthTime
M 6.4142 km W of Neiafu, Tonga260.0 km2025-05-14 04:15:40 UTCView event →
M 4.5258 km WNW of Houma, Tonga513.2 km2025-05-14 20:21:46 UTCView event →
M 4.7128 km NNW of Neiafu, Tonga86.8 km2025-05-17 20:56:18 UTCView event →
M 4.9130 km NNW of Neiafu, Tonga76.5 km2025-05-18 07:54:33 UTCView event →
M 4.9112 km SSW of Hihifo, Tonga84.1 km2025-05-24 03:48:18 UTCView event →

Interpretation

Explore clusters of M4.5+ events observed around significant earthquakes. These clusters are descriptive and are not presented as earthquake predictions. Historical small-earthquake detection varies through time. Long-term comparisons are most robust at higher magnitude thresholds.

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