Sequence · 2017-01-22

M 7.9 · Observed seismic cluster · 35 km WNW of Panguna, Papua New Guinea

Explore clusters of M4.5+ events observed around significant earthquakes. These clusters are descriptive and are not presented as earthquake predictions.

M4.5+ events in cluster25
M6+1
Analysis radius484 km
Observation window14 days
Largest secondary eventM 5.6
Quake Pulse · Major sequence

What the sequence shows

After the M 7.9 reference event, Quake Pulse counts 7 M4+ event(s) in the first 24 hours and 18 in the first 7 days. Fourteen-day M4.5+ activity is about 1.8× the average equivalent derived from the previous year. The largest secondary event is M 2.3 below the reference event.

86/100Sequence score
Events in the previous 24 h2
In the first hour2
In the first 24 hours7
In the first 7 days18
Within 14 days24
Peak one-hour count2

Local historical context

Descriptive comparison with M4.5+ events observed in the same radius during the 365 days before the sequence.

M4.5+ events / 365 d355Average 14-day equivalent13.6Activity / baseline ratio1.8×

A ratio above 1 means denser M4.5+ activity than the average equivalent derived from the previous 365 days. It is not a risk measure or a forecast.

Reference event

Largest secondary eventM 5.6Magnitude gapM 2.3Observed duration12.8 d

Earlier events are shown as context only. They are not labelled precursors and should not be interpreted as predictive signals.

Evolving sequence map

Shows M4+ cluster events according to elapsed time after the reference event.

35 km WNW of Panguna, Papua New Guinea · 484 kmInteractive 3D view of earthquakes within 484 km of 35 km WNW of Panguna, Papua New Guinea.35 km WNW of Panguna, Papua New GuineaM 5.6 · 213 km WSW of Panguna, Papua New Guinea · 181.8 kmM 4.5 · 69 km WNW of Panguna, Papua New Guinea · 37.4 kmM 4.6 · 103 km WNW of Panguna, Papua New Guinea · 70.1 kmM 4.5 · 160 km ENE of Gizo, Solomon Islands · 363.7 kmM 4.9 · 212 km SE of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea · 192.7 kmM 4.5 · 41 km SE of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea · 346.1 kmM 4.9 · 192 km W of Panguna, Papua New Guinea · 156.6 kmM 4.5 · 104 km ESE of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea · 467.7 kmM 4.6 · 120 km SE of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea · 458.1 kmM 4.5 · 144 km S of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea · 301.4 kmM 5.2 · 147 km W of Panguna, Papua New Guinea · 112.3 kmM 4.5 · 76 km SSE of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea · 334.4 kmM 4.7 · 177 km ESE of Kandrian, Papua New Guinea · 476.0 kmM 4.6 · 91 km WNW of Panguna, Papua New Guinea · 57.5 kmM 5.3 · 152 km SSW of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea · 383.0 kmM 4.6 · 82 km WNW of Panguna, Papua New Guinea · 48.5 kmM 5.2 · 146 km SSW of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea · 375.9 kmM 5.0 · 100 km ESE of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea · 288.7 kmM 5.0 · New Britain region, Papua New Guinea · 387.6 kmM 4.5 · 11 km NNE of Kieta, Papua New Guinea · 57.6 kmM 4.5 · 112 km WSW of Panguna, Papua New Guinea · 82.6 kmM 4.5 · 90 km W of Panguna, Papua New Guinea · 59.4 kmM 4.7 · 98 km SSW of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea · 392.3 kmM 4.6 · 114 km W of Panguna, Papua New Guinea · 78.8 km
35 km WNW of Panguna, Papua New Guinea484 km24 Recent earthquakes

Detailed timeline

Dots represent M4+ events retained by the sequence detector. Dot size depends on magnitude.

Sequences are descriptive groupings based on spatial and temporal proximity. Quake Pulse does not establish a causal link between every event here and does not provide earthquake forecasts.

Quake Pulse

Main-event impact

30 Felt reports · PAGER YELLOW · Tsunami indicator · Intermediate

79/100
Impact and context →

M4.5+ events in cluster

MagnitudeLocationDepthTime
M 7.935 km WNW of Panguna, Papua New Guinea135.0 km2017-01-22 04:30:22 UTCView event →
M 5.6213 km WSW of Panguna, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2017-01-22 04:44:52 UTCView event →
M 4.569 km WNW of Panguna, Papua New Guinea165.3 km2017-01-22 05:15:01 UTCView event →
M 4.6103 km WNW of Panguna, Papua New Guinea139.5 km2017-01-22 05:37:40 UTCView event →
M 4.5160 km ENE of Gizo, Solomon Islands50.4 km2017-01-22 13:25:00 UTCView event →
M 4.9212 km SE of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea21.7 km2017-01-22 13:31:59 UTCView event →
M 4.541 km SE of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea72.8 km2017-01-22 20:27:13 UTCView event →
M 4.9192 km W of Panguna, Papua New Guinea50.8 km2017-01-22 22:26:50 UTCView event →
M 4.5104 km ESE of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2017-01-23 04:33:05 UTCView event →
M 4.6120 km SE of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2017-01-23 04:33:37 UTCView event →
M 4.5144 km S of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea28.5 km2017-01-23 07:14:34 UTCView event →
M 5.2147 km W of Panguna, Papua New Guinea35.0 km2017-01-24 20:37:59 UTCView event →
M 4.576 km SSE of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea53.4 km2017-01-25 12:56:11 UTCView event →
M 4.7177 km ESE of Kandrian, Papua New Guinea24.8 km2017-01-27 21:05:32 UTCView event →
M 4.691 km WNW of Panguna, Papua New Guinea166.3 km2017-01-28 01:43:28 UTCView event →
M 5.3152 km SSW of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2017-01-28 04:14:35 UTCView event →
M 4.682 km WNW of Panguna, Papua New Guinea169.8 km2017-01-28 05:57:59 UTCView event →
M 5.2146 km SSW of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea27.4 km2017-01-28 09:24:55 UTCView event →
M 5.0100 km ESE of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea60.9 km2017-01-28 23:12:03 UTCView event →
M 5.0New Britain region, Papua New Guinea48.7 km2017-01-30 06:01:16 UTCView event →
M 4.511 km NNE of Kieta, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2017-01-31 00:55:51 UTCView event →
M 4.5112 km WSW of Panguna, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2017-01-31 19:58:37 UTCView event →
M 4.590 km W of Panguna, Papua New Guinea10.0 km2017-02-03 11:58:46 UTCView event →
M 4.798 km SSW of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea106.9 km2017-02-03 12:39:00 UTCView event →
M 4.6114 km W of Panguna, Papua New Guinea35.0 km2017-02-03 23:15:01 UTCView event →

Interpretation

Explore clusters of M4.5+ events observed around significant earthquakes. These clusters are descriptive and are not presented as earthquake predictions. Historical small-earthquake detection varies through time. Long-term comparisons are most robust at higher magnitude thresholds.

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